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If Bernstein’s $10 trillion prediction market turnover forecast is realized or exceeded, it’d likely prove significant in revenue terms because the research firm previously estimated that $1 trillion in yearly activity could generate as much as $10.8 billion in revenue for operators.
As has been widely documented, sports event contracts are currently the lifeblood of the prediction market industry, but Bernstein notes that won’t be the case on a permanent basis. In fact, the research firm estimates that sports derivatives’ share of industry volume will decline to 35% in 2035, indicating that the aforementioned volume increase will be led by other categories.
The research firm estimates that by 2035, financial derivatives, including event contracts linked to commodities, cryptocurrencies and stocks, will account for 49% of turnover on yes/no exchanges, topping sports to become the largest volume driver. The research firm sees event contracts tied to key performance indicators (KPIs) leading the charge.
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For NetEnt, now part of Evolution’s game-supply operation, Demon Beats fits a pattern. The studio tends to iterate on proven mechanical families rather than pivot into adjacent categories such as crash or instant-win formats. The Avalanche engine is a durable part of the studio’s identity, and returning to it positions Demon Beats as a portfolio continuation rather than an experiment.
The staggered rollout matters too. With early access preceding general availability, operators get a short exclusivity window before the game reaches the wider market. For an established supplier, that structure shows how NetEnt keeps leaning on brand-recognizable mechanics to stay competitive against a crowded field of content providers.
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Kambi had set itself the ambitious target of delivering the entire tournament through AI. By the time Spain lifted the trophy, it had provided compelling evidence that automated trading could withstand the scale and intensity of sport’s biggest betting event while improving the experience offered to operators and their customers.
“The Fifa World Cup draws global attention in a way that no other sporting event can, and it was the best stress test of the technology we could have asked for,” says Oliver Lamb, SVP of trading at Kambi.
“We also delivered a nigh-on limitless range of bet combinations, delivered in a more rapid and more seamless manner than we have been able to before.”